India’s February merchandise trade deficit narrows to $27.1 billion as imports fall from January
The Facts
- India’s merchandise trade deficit was $27.1 billion in February 2026.
- The February merchandise trade deficit narrowed from a revised $34.68 billion in January 2026.
- Merchandise exports in February were about $36.61 billion.
- Merchandise imports in February were about $63.71 billion.
- Merchandise imports fell month-on-month from about $71.24 billion in January to about $63.71 billion in February.
- Economists in a Reuters poll expected India’s February trade deficit to be $28.8 billion.
- Commerce Secretary Rajesh Agrawal said India’s exports in March are likely to be impacted by the ongoing conflict in West Asia.
Context
What changed from January to February to narrow the deficit?
The deficit narrowed mainly because imports declined from about $71.24 billion in January to about $63.71 billion in February, while exports were roughly flat at around $36.61 billion. Reuters Hindustan Times
How did February’s deficit compare with expectations?
The $27.1 billion February deficit was smaller than the $28.8 billion median forecast in a Reuters poll of economists. Reuters Hindustan Times
Why are officials warning about risks to trade in the near term?
Officials and analysts pointed to the West Asia conflict and related disruptions—particularly around key shipping routes—as a factor that could raise logistics costs and weigh on exports, with the Commerce Secretary warning of a likely impact on March exports. Hindu Reuters Financial Express
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