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Resolution Foundation says higher energy prices could leave UK households £480 worse off this year

First covered Sunday, April 12, 2026Business & MarketsWell-covered

The Facts

  • The Resolution Foundation said a typical UK working-age household could be £480 worse off this financial year because of higher energy prices linked to the conflict involving Iran.
  • The think tank said households had previously been on track for 0.9% income growth this year, but are now projected to see incomes fall by 0.6%.
  • The Resolution Foundation said the hit to households would come from both higher petrol prices and higher household gas and electricity costs.
  • Multiple reports say the Resolution Foundation published its analysis after oil and gas prices rose during the conflict, and said the effects would persist even after a recent ceasefire.
  • The Resolution Foundation said lower-income households are still expected to see some income growth, but less than previously forecast.
  • For the poorest fifth of households, the think tank's forecast for income growth was reduced from 2.8% to 1.2%.

Context

Why does the report say households will be worse off?

The Resolution Foundation said rising oil and gas prices are pushing up costs at the petrol pump and for household energy, which reduces real household incomes this year Guardian,Yahoo! Finance,Mirror.

Does the report say all households are affected in the same way?

No. The think tank said the squeeze runs across the income distribution, but lower-income households are still expected to see some income growth because of higher real benefit levels, while middle-income households are among those projected to move into negative income growth Yahoo! Finance,Evening Standard,Yahoo.

Did the recent ceasefire remove the expected impact?

Not according to the reports on the analysis. Several outlets said the Resolution Foundation's forecast still showed a hit to household finances even after the recent ceasefire, because energy prices remained above pre-conflict levels Independent,Financial Times News,National.

See this differently than someone you know would?

The receipts — all 14 sources

Independent coverage (14)

Chronicle LiveAverage UK family will be '£480 worse off' this year due to ...
The Press, YorkUK households will be £480 per year worse off because of Ira...
Evening StandardMiddle class 'to be £480 worse off' as Iran war drives up bi...
YahooMiddle class to be £480 worse off as Trump's Iran war drives...
The NationalIran war inflation shock to UK households revealed
The GuardianMiddle East war will leave UK households £480 poorer this ye...
The Times of IndiaMiddle East conflict drives up energy costs, hits UK househo...
No2NuclearPowerEnergy Costs - No2NuclearPower
Birmingham MailUK households face £480 hit from Iran war, Resolution Founda...
Yahoo! FinanceMiddle-class families to bear the brunt of Iran inflation
MirrorExact amount that Iran war is set to cost the average UK hou...
The SunBrit families face £480 hit as Iran-fuelled energy crisis dr...
The IndependentHigher energy prices could leave UK households £480 worse of...
Financial Times NewsUK households' living standards to fall after energy price s...

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